Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 3885 LANDED 1:04 AM PT, ~15 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, October 27 Today

F9 3885 · DFW → LAS

took off 12:40 AM CT · landed 1:04 AM PT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 17h after departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

23% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ 10pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAS (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

F9 3885 · DFW → LAS

Odds over time