F9 4251 · DEN → SLC

took off 11:17 PM MT · landed 12:21 AM MT (scheduled 10:39 PM MT → 12:21 AM MT)

Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −20 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late did it get to SLC?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 10pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into SLC at that hour are often late

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SLC

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.13 mi Precipnone

SLC (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility5 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

F9 4251 · DEN → SLC

Odds over time

How late did it get to SLC?