Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 9140 LANDED 12:32 AM ET, ~1 MIN EARLY · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, October 27

F9 9140 · DEN → TPA

took off 7:33 PM MT · landed 12:32 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 7pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ Other factors

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ DEN usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.13 mi Precipnone

TPA (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

F9 9140 · DEN → TPA

Odds over time