G4 1319 · BMI → SFB

took off 1:58 PM CT · landed 5:02 PM ET (scheduled 11:17 AM CT → 2:48 PM ET)

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to SFB?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
✓

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 36% of the time recently

↑ SFB is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into SFB at that hour are often late

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BMI

Weather at each end

BMI (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling10,667 ft Visibility4 mi Precipnone

SFB (destination) Gusts30 kt Ceiling4,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 1319 · BMI → SFB

Odds over time

How late did it get to SFB?