Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2154
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 27 Today
G4 2154 · TYS → FLL
departs 7:05 PM ET · arrives 9:13 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 17h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
36%
chance · ±6 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
36%
Leave 15+ late
34%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
24%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Leave TYS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Arrive at FLL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
How late will it get to FLL?
On time or early
49%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
24%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 35 kt, 0.4 in of rain forecast at FLL that day
↑
Arrivals into FLL at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 24% of the time recently
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at TYS
Weather at each end
TYS (origin)
Gusts 4 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 8 mi Precip none
FLL (destination)
Gusts 35 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.38 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.