Schedule: FAA flight plans.

ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 232 PROBABLY LANDED (THE FAA HASN'T CONFIRMED THE LANDING TIME)

Tuesday, October 27 Yesterday

G4 232 · PIE → AVL

took off 4:49 PM ET · probably landed (not confirmed) (scheduled 4:42 PM ET → 6:28 PM ET)

Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at AVL more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to AVL?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ PIE is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into AVL at that hour are often late

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at AVL

Weather at each end

PIE (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

AVL (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 232 · PIE → AVL

Odds over time

How late will it get to AVL?