Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2824
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 27 Today
G4 2824 · HGR → SFB
departs 4:33 PM ET · arrives 6:42 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 4h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 10/28 24%
Mon 11/2 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±0 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
33%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Now
Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave HGR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Arrive at SFB more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SFB?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 43% of the time recently
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into SFB at that hour are often late
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at HGR
Weather at each end
HGR (origin)
Gusts 5 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SFB (destination)
Gusts 30 kt Ceiling 4,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.