Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 3182 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 27 Yesterday

G4 3182 · IWA → ATW

departs 2:59 AM MSK · arrives 10:28 PM CT

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 23h after departure

Arrive at ATW more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±0 pts +11 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to ATW?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at IWA

↑ Arrivals into ATW at that hour are often late

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATW

Weather at each end

IWA (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

ATW (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling1,400 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 3182 · IWA → ATW

Odds over time

How late will it get to ATW?