G4 496 · FLL → AVL

departs 9:34 AM ET · arrives 11:40 AM ET

Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 9h before departure

Arrive at AVL more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±0 pts +12 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to AVL?

On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 35 kt, 0.4 in of rain forecast at FLL that day

↑ This flight has been late 37% of the time recently

↑ FLL is prone to delays

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at AVL

Weather at each end

FLL (origin) Gusts35 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.39 in

AVL (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 496 · FLL → AVL

Odds over time

How late will it get to AVL?