Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 529
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 27 Today
G4 529 · AVL → FLL
departs 3:33 PM ET · arrives 5:40 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 7:00 AM ET · 9h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±0 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
5%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
2d
1d
12h
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave AVL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at FLL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −11 pts in 24h
−11 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to FLL?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 34 kt, 0.5 in of rain forecast at FLL that day
↑
Arrivals into FLL at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at AVL
Weather at each end
AVL (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
FLL (destination)
Gusts 34 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.47 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.