G4 532 · FLL → IND

departs 10:01 AM ET · arrives 12:53 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 8h before departure

Arrive at IND more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to IND?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 35 kt, 0.4 in of rain forecast at FLL that day

↑ This flight has been late 28% of the time recently

↑ 10am departures from FLL are often late

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IND

Weather at each end

FLL (origin) Gusts35 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.38 in

IND (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 532 · FLL → IND

Odds over time

How late will it get to IND?