G4 541 · GRR → PGD

took off 9:08 AM ET · landed 11:39 AM ET (scheduled 9:00 AM ET → 11:52 AM ET)

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 10h after departure

Arrive at PGD more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to PGD?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at GRR

↓ GRR usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

GRR (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PGD (destination) Gusts27 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 541 · GRR → PGD

Odds over time

How late did it get to PGD?