G4 636 · AZA → PIA

departs 9:30 AM MT · arrives 2:36 PM CT

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at PIA more than 15 minutes late?

7% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to PIA?

On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at AZA

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PIA

Weather at each end

AZA (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PIA (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling8,667 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 636 · AZA → PIA

Odds over time

How late will it get to PIA?