Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 678
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 27 Yesterday
G4 678 · IWA → RAP
departs 3:14 AM MSK · arrives 8:35 PM MT
Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 23h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Mon 11/2 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at RAP more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±0 pts
+9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
4%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RAP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave IWA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at RAP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to RAP?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 28 kt, cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at RAP that day
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at IWA
↑
This route's recent record
↓
RAP usually runs smoothly
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
IWA (origin)
Gusts — Ceiling — Visibility — Precip —
RAP (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.