Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 686 PROBABLY LANDED (THE FAA HASN'T CONFIRMED THE LANDING TIME) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, October 27 Yesterday

G4 686 · IWA → RAP

took off 3:23 AM MSK · probably landed (not confirmed) (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 23h after departure

Arrive at RAP more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±0 pts +13 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

No breakdown for this forecast yet.

Weather at each end

IWA (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

RAP (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 686 · IWA → RAP

Odds over time