Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Tuesday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 693 LANDED 3:06 PM CT, ~14 MIN LATE

Tuesday, October 27 Yesterday

G4 693 · IWA → FAR

took off 8:30 PM MSK · landed 3:06 PM CT (scheduled 7:59 PM MSK → 2:58 PM CT)

Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at FAR more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to FAR?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at FAR that day

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at IWA

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ FAR usually runs smoothly

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

IWA (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

FAR (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.14 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 693 · IWA → FAR

Odds over time

How late did it get to FAR?