Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 706
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 27 Yesterday
G4 706 · IWA → GEG
departs 1:56 AM MSK · arrives 6:37 PM PT
Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 24h after departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at GEG more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±0 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
14%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at GEG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave IWA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Arrive at GEG more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to GEG?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 0.8 mi forecast at GEG that day
↑
This route's recent record
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↓
GEG usually runs smoothly
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
IWA (origin)
Gusts —
Ceiling —
Visibility —
Precip —
GEG (destination)
Gusts 22 kt
Ceiling 300 ft
Visibility 0.5 mi
Precip 0.05 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.