Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 712
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 27 Yesterday
G4 712 · IWA → BIS
departs 2:42 AM MSK · arrives 9:25 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 23h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 11/1 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at BIS more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±0 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BIS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave IWA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at BIS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to BIS?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at IWA
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft forecast at BIS that day
↑
This route's recent record
↓
BIS usually runs smoothly
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
IWA (origin)
Gusts — Ceiling — Visibility — Precip —
BIS (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 1.5 mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.