G4 716 · SGF → AZA

departs 2:22 PM CT · arrives 3:17 PM MT

Your aircraft is N280NV (A320), coming in as G4 652 from IWA: landed 2:06 PM CT.

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at AZA more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±1 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to AZA?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AZA is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 28% of the time recently

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SGF

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SGF (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

AZA (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 716 · SGF → AZA

Odds over time

How late will it get to AZA?