Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 719 LANDED 7:06 PM CT, ~5 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, October 27 Yesterday

G4 719 · IWA → LSE

took off 12:31 AM MSK · landed 7:06 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 25h after departure

Arrive at LSE more than 15 minutes late?

23% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at IWA

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

IWA (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

LSE (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 719 · IWA → LSE

Odds over time