Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 733 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 27 Yesterday

G4 733 · IWA → LSE

departs 12:21 AM MSK · arrives 7:33 PM CT

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 26h after departure

Arrive at LSE more than 15 minutes late?

21% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to LSE?

On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at IWA

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

IWA (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

LSE (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 733 · IWA → LSE

Odds over time

How late will it get to LSE?