Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 8001 LANDED 9:06 AM CT, ~13 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, October 27 Today

G4 8001 · DSM → ORD

took off 8:13 AM CT · landed 9:06 AM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 10h after departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↑ Other factors

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DSM

Weather at each end

DSM (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ORD (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility6 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 8001 · DSM → ORD

Odds over time