Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 8020 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 27 Yesterday

G4 8020 · AVL → SVN

departs 2:19 PM ET · arrives 3:34 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 9h after departure

Arrive at SVN more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to SVN?

On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 2pm departures from AVL are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at AVL

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

AVL (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SVN (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 8020 · AVL → SVN

Odds over time

How late will it get to SVN?