Schedule: FAA flight plans.

ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 867 PROBABLY LANDED (THE FAA HASN'T CONFIRMED THE LANDING TIME)

Tuesday, October 27 Today

G4 867 · RFD → PGD

took off 1:53 PM CT · probably landed (not confirmed) (scheduled 1:40 PM CT → 5:55 PM ET)

Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at PGD more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to PGD?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ PGD is prone to delays

↑ Early flights usually leave on time

↑ This flight has been late 22% of the time recently

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RFD

Weather at each end

RFD (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility6 mi Precipnone

PGD (destination) Gusts27 kt Ceiling4,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 867 · RFD → PGD

Odds over time

How late will it get to PGD?