G4 909 · PVD → PGD

took off 12:54 PM ET · landed 3:43 PM ET (scheduled 12:46 PM ET → 3:58 PM ET)

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 9h after departure

Arrive at PGD more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to PGD?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 36% of the time recently

↑ PVD is prone to delays

↑ PGD is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PVD

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

PVD (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PGD (destination) Gusts27 kt Ceiling4,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 909 · PVD → PGD

Odds over time

How late did it get to PGD?