Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
GOJET · FLIGHT G7 4424
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 27 Today
G7 4424 · IAD → YOW
departs 12:44 PM ET · arrives 2:35 PM EDT
Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 11h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 10/28 11%
Thu 10/29 19%
Fri 10/30 16%
Sat 10/31 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at YOW more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±0 pts
+10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at YOW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave IAD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at YOW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to YOW?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This route's recent record
↑
IAD is busy at that time
↑
12pm departures from IAD are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at IAD
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at YOW
Weather at each end
IAD (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
YOW (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.