G7 4565 · IAH → LIT

departs 12:13 PM CT · arrives 1:41 PM CT

Forecast issued Tue 4:00 AM ET · 9h before departure

Arrive at LIT more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LIT?

On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 12pm departures from IAH are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ IAH is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LIT (destination) Gusts5 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G7 4565 · IAH → LIT

Odds over time

How late will it get to LIT?