Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
GOJET · FLIGHT G7 4597
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 27 Today
G7 4597 · ORD → FSD
departs 9:00 AM CT · arrives 10:47 AM CT
Forecast issued Tue 5:00 AM ET · 5h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 10/28 15%
Thu 10/29 13%
Fri 10/30 17%
Sat 10/31 27%
Odds over time
Arrive at FSD more than 15 minutes late?
10%
chance · ±0 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
10%
Leave 15+ late
8%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.4d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FSD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Arrive at FSD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to FSD?
On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
9am departures from ORD are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft forecast at FSD that day
↑
This route's recent record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD
↓
Arrivals into FSD at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 11,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
FSD (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.