Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

IBERIA · FLIGHT IB 363 LANDED 6:02 AM CT, ~9 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, October 27 Yesterday

IB 363 · MAD → DFW

took off 1:15 AM CET · landed 6:02 AM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 23h after departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

23% chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MAD

Weather at each end

MAD (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

DFW (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

IB 363 · MAD → DFW

Odds over time