Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
STARLUX · FLIGHT JX 32
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 27 Today
JX 32 · TPE → SEA
departs 8:42 PM CST · arrives 4:06 PM PT
Forecast issued Tue 3:00 AM ET · 6h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 10/28 18%
Thu 10/29 20%
Fri 10/30 29%
Sat 10/31 18%
Sun 11/1 31%
Mon 11/2 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
21%
chance · ±0 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
21%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.4d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Leave TPE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at SEA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This route's recent record
↑
Cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at SEA that day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at TPE
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
TPE (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SEA (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.07 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.