KE 415 · ICN → GUM

took off · landed 2:48 PM ChST (scheduled 9:50 AM KST → 3:12 PM ChST)

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 22h after departure

Arrive at GUM more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to GUM?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Other factors

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at GUM

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ICN

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ICN (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

GUM (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

KE 415 · ICN → GUM

Odds over time

How late did it get to GUM?