Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DENVER AIR CONNECTION · FLIGHT KG 414 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 27 Today

KG 414 · DEN → LBF

departs 4:59 PM MT · arrives 7:23 PM CT

Forecast issued Tue 4:00 AM ET · 15h before departure

Arrive at LBF more than 15 minutes late?

10% chance · ±1 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LBF?

On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 4pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.8 mi forecast at DEN that day

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.13 mi Precipnone

LBF (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility2 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

KG 414 · DEN → LBF

Odds over time

How late will it get to LBF?