Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DENVER AIR CONNECTION · FLIGHT KG 4235 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 27 Today

KG 4235 · AIA → DEN

departs 7:31 AM MT · arrives 8:44 AM MT

Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 8h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

29% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at AIA that day

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.2 mi forecast at DEN that day

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

AIA (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility0.7 mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

KG 4235 · AIA → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?