Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

DENVER AIR CONNECTION · FLIGHT KG 507 IN THE AIR (OFF 8:54 AM MT, ETA 9:16 AM MT) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, October 27 Today

KG 507 · DEN → CYS

took off 8:54 AM MT · expected to land 9:16 AM MT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at CYS more than 15 minutes late?

23% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.13 mi forecast at DEN that day

↑ Other factors

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Arrivals into CYS at that hour are usually not late

↓ DEN usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.13 mi Precipnone

CYS (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

KG 507 · DEN → CYS

Odds over time