LH 438 · FRA → DFW

took off 10:32 AM CET (scheduled 10:10 AM CET → 3:52 PM CT)

Forecast issued Tue 8:00 AM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

21% chance · ±1 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ 10am departures from FRA are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at FRA

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

Weather at each end

FRA (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DFW (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

LH 438 · FRA → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?