LH 442 · FRA → DTW

took off 11:16 AM CET (scheduled 10:56 AM CET → 3:34 PM ET)

Forecast issued Tue 5:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±1 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DTW?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ LH's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at FRA

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW

Weather at each end

FRA (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DTW (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

LH 442 · FRA → DTW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DTW?