Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
LUFTHANSA · FLIGHT LH 448
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 27 Yesterday
LH 448 · FRA → STL
departs 10:39 AM CET · arrives 2:44 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 13h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 10/28 9%
Fri 10/30 16%
Sun 11/1 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?
17%
chance · ±0 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
17%
Leave 15+ late
14%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.2d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Leave FRA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Arrive at STL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to STL?
On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This route's recent record
↑
10am departures from FRA are often late
↑
LH's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at FRA
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at STL
Weather at each end
FRA (origin)
Gusts — Ceiling — Visibility — Precip —
STL (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.