Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
LUFTHANSA · FLIGHT LH 453
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 27 Today
LH 453 · LAX → MUC
departs 5:42 PM PT · arrives 12:47 PM CET
Your aircraft is DAIMB (A388), coming in as LH 452 from MUC: landed 4:25 PM PT.
Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 2h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 10/28 15%
Thu 10/29 17%
Fri 10/30 20%
Sat 10/31 17%
Sun 11/1 23%
Mon 11/2 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at MUC more than 15 minutes late?
5%
chance · ±0 pts
−10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
5%
Leave 15+ late
3%
Arrive 1h+ late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MUC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −10 pts in 24h
−10 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −10 pts in 24h
−10 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Arrive at MUC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MUC?
On time or early
95%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This route's recent record
↑
LAX is prone to delays
↑
5pm departures from LAX are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip none
MUC (destination)
Gusts — Ceiling — Visibility — Precip —
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.