Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
LUFTHANSA · FLIGHT LH 467
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 27 Today
LH 467 · SAN → MUC
departs 5:32 PM PT · arrives 12:23 PM CET
Your aircraft is DAIXO (A359), coming in as LH 466 from MUC: landed 4:32 PM PT.
Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 2h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 10/28 15%
Thu 10/29 18%
Fri 10/30 19%
Mon 11/2 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at MUC more than 15 minutes late?
99%
chance · ±0 pts
+83 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
99%
Leave 15+ late
99%
Arrive 1h+ late
98%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MUC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +83 pts in 24h
+83 pts
99%
Yes 99%
No <1%
Leave SAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +88 pts in 24h
+88 pts
99%
Yes 99%
No <1%
Arrive at MUC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +95 pts in 24h
+95 pts
98%
Yes 98%
No 2%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MUC?
On time or early
<1%
15–30 min late
90%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This route's recent record
↑
5pm departures from SAN are often late
↑
SAN is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SAN
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SAN (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MUC (destination)
Gusts — Ceiling — Visibility — Precip —
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.