Schedule: FAA flight plans.

LOT · FLIGHT LO 3 IN THE AIR (OFF 5:16 PM CET, ETA 8:19 PM CT)
Yesterday

LO 3 · WAW → ORD

took off 5:16 PM CET · expected to land 8:19 PM CT (scheduled 4:40 PM CET → 8:32 PM CT)
Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Odds over time

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
29% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 6.5d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to ORD?

LIVE
  1. On time or early
    71%
  2. 15–30 min late
    27%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    2%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    0%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.