LX 72 · ZRH → IAD

departs 1:16 PM CET · arrives 5:31 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 5:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to IAD?

On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Early flights usually leave on time

↑ Arrivals into IAD at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAD

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ZRH

Weather at each end

ZRH (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

IAD (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

LX 72 · ZRH → IAD

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAD?