MQ 3677 · DFW → MSO

took off 10:31 AM CT · landed 12:51 PM MT (scheduled 10:24 AM CT → 12:53 PM MT)

Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 12h after departure

Arrive at MSO more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −20 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to MSO?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 28% of the time recently

↑ DFW is busy at that time

↑ 10am departures from DFW are often late

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MSO (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling2,100 ft Visibility9.57143 mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3677 · DFW → MSO

Odds over time

How late did it get to MSO?