tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: FAA flight plans.

ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3951 IN THE AIR (OFF 6:07 AM CT, ETA 6:28 AM MT)
Today

MQ 3951 · MFE → PHX

took off 6:07 AM CT · expected to land 6:28 AM MT (scheduled 6:08 AM CT → 6:56 AM MT)
Forecast issued Tue 7:00 AM ET · 0h before departure
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
<1% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 6.3d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to PHX?

LIVE
  1. On time or early
    100%
  2. 15–30 min late
    <1%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    0%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    0%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.