MQ 4068 · BUF → BOS

departs 4:37 PM ET · arrives 6:17 PM ET

Your aircraft is N204NN (E170), coming in as MQ 3401 from BOS: landed 3:30 PM ET.

Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to BOS?

On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This flight has been late 28% of the time recently

↓ Gusts to 25 kt forecast at BOS that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BUF

Weather at each end

BUF (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BOS (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 4068 · BUF → BOS

Odds over time

How late will it get to BOS?