MQ 4078 · DFW → CHA

took off 8:48 AM CT · expected to land 11:18 AM ET (scheduled 8:43 AM CT → 11:54 AM ET)

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 AM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at CHA more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to CHA?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ DFW is busy at that time

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into CHA at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CHA (destination) Gusts5 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 4078 · DFW → CHA

Odds over time

How late will it get to CHA?