Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 9869 LANDED 2:08 PM CT, ~15 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, October 27 Yesterday

MQ 9869 · TUL → DFW

took off 1:20 PM CT · landed 2:08 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 9h after departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↑ DFW is busy at that time

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

Weather at each end

TUL (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DFW (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 9869 · TUL → DFW

Odds over time