MX 1779 · RSW → RDU

took off 7:03 AM ET · landed 8:39 AM ET (scheduled 6:58 AM ET → 9:10 AM ET)

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 12h after departure

Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to RDU?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ MX's recent on-time record

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 6am departures from RSW are usually not late

Weather at each end

RSW (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

RDU (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MX 1779 · RSW → RDU

Odds over time

How late did it get to RDU?