MX 2424 · TPA → FLL

departs 4:52 PM ET · arrives 6:06 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 AM ET · 10h before departure

Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±0 pts −8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to FLL?

On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 34 kt, 0.5 in of rain forecast at FLL that day

↑ Arrivals into FLL at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Gusts to 25 kt forecast at TPA that day

Weather at each end

TPA (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

FLL (destination) Gusts34 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.47 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MX 2424 · TPA → FLL

Odds over time

How late will it get to FLL?