MX 353 · LAX → MSY

departs 11:21 PM PT · arrives 5:12 AM CT

Forecast issued Tue 4:00 AM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±2 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MSY?

On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MSY

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility6 mi Precipnone

MSY (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MX 353 · LAX → MSY

Odds over time

How late will it get to MSY?