Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

BREEZE · FLIGHT MX 9041 LANDED 11:54 AM ET, ~16 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, October 27 Today

MX 9041 · TPA → CHS

took off 10:50 AM ET · landed 11:54 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at CHS more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ This route's recent record

↑ MX's recent on-time record

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CHS

Weather at each end

TPA (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

CHS (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MX 9041 · TPA → CHS

Odds over time